Data as of Aug 16, 2026 · Based on 3,131,739 AI responses across 10,525 prompts · See how Parse measures this
Metaculusmetaculus.comSources
en.wikipedia.org shapes more of what AI says about Metaculus than any other source, at 56% of its citations.
pm.wiki · metaculus.com · manifoldmarkets.notion.site · predictsites.com
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Prediction Market Betting Platforms →Excerpts where Metaculus appeared in the AI's answer
Metaculus is excellent if your goal is serious forecasting and measuring forecaster accuracy, but it's less game-like and less convenient for a casual friends' betting pool.
Metaculus is better if you care more about forecasting accuracy than the trading-game aspect.
